Paide 57%Draw 24%Trans Narva 18%Expected goals 2.03 – 1.09
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✓57% · @1.75
Double chancePaide or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Paide vs Trans Narva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Meistriliiga brings Paide against Trans Narva at Paide linnastaadion. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Paide are 2nd, among the top four, on 64 points after 36 matches; Trans Narva are 10th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 41 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paide, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Tallinna Kalev, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Trans Narva, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Viimsi, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paide 2.0 xG, Trans Narva 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 57%, draw 24%, Trans Narva 18%.
Lower-risk option: Paide or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 2–1 Trans Narva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paide57%fair 1.75 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.50
Trans Narva18%fair 5.43 · @3.90
3.11Expected goals
2.03Paide xG
1.09Trans Narva xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Paide 2.0 – 1.1 Trans Narva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paide to win✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Double chance
Paide or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.62
Draw no bet
Paide (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Trans Narva +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
First team to score
Paide to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Paide ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paide / FT Paide✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Paide – last 4
WLWW
11 Mar
vs Tallinna Kalev
6–0
W
7 Mar
@ Vaprus
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Super Nova
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kalju Nomme
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Trans Narva – last 3
WDW
11 Mar
vs Viimsi
4–3
W
21 Feb
@ Kuressaare
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Vaprus
2–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paide and Trans Narva.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Paide vs Trans Narva?
On our numbers Paide have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Trans Narva 18%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Trans Narva?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Trans Narva?
Our predicted score is Paide 2–1 Trans Narva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Trans Narva?
Paide vs Trans Narva (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
