FC Levadia Tallinn 60%Draw 23%Paide 16%Expected goals 2.04 – 0.87
77%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: FC Levadia Tallinn to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFC Levadia Tallinn to win60% · @1.77
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.14
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Meistriliiga brings FC Levadia Tallinn against Paide at A. Le Coq Arena. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, FC Levadia Tallinn are 1st, leading the league, on 91 points after 36 matches; Paide are 2nd (among the top four) with 64. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paide, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Trans Narva, at home. 2.4 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Levadia Tallinn 2.0 xG, Paide 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Levadia Tallinn 60%, draw 23%, Paide 16%.
Lower-risk option: FC Levadia Tallinn or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: FC Levadia Tallinn to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Levadia Tallinn 2–0 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Levadia Tallinn60%fair 1.66 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.60
Paide16%fair 6.14 · @3.90
2.92Expected goals
2.04FC Levadia Tallinn xG
0.87Paide xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Levadia Tallinn 2.0 – 0.9 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Levadia Tallinn to win
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Double chance
FC Levadia Tallinn or draw
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.64
1.60
Draw no bet
FC Levadia Tallinn (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
FC Levadia Tallinn -0.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
FC Levadia Tallinn to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
FC Levadia Tallinn ahead at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Levadia Tallinn / FT FC Levadia Tallinn
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
FC Levadia Tallinn – last 2
WW
15 Mar
@ Laagri
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Kuressaare
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paide – last 5
WWLWW
15 Mar
vs Trans Narva
1–0
W
11 Mar
vs Tallinna Kalev
6–0
W
7 Mar
@ Vaprus
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Super Nova
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kalju Nomme
2–1
W
2.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Levadia Tallinn and Paide.
What is the prediction for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
On our numbers FC Levadia Tallinn have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paide 16%.
How many goals will there be in FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
Our predicted score is FC Levadia Tallinn 2–0 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
