Kuressaare vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kuressaare welcome Paide to Kuressaare Linnastaadion for a Meistriliiga fixture on Friday 3 April (12:30 WAT). In the table, Kuressaare are 9th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; Paide are 2nd (among the top four) with 64. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kuressaare, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Kalju Nomme, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Paide, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Trans Narva, at home. 2.4 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Paide, collecting 2.4 points per game to 0.3 for Kuressaare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kuressaare 1.1 xG, Paide 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kuressaare 19%, draw 25%, Paide 56%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paide to win (56%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kuressaare 0–1 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kuressaare19%fair 5.20 · @6.50
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @4.33
Paide56%fair 1.80 · @1.36
2.72Expected goals
1.10Kuressaare xG
1.62Paide xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kuressaare 1.1 – 1.6 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paide to win✓
56%
1.80
1.36
Double chance
Paide or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Paide (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Kuressaare +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Paide to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paide / FT Paide✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Kuressaare – last 3
LLD
21 Mar
@ Kalju Nomme
0–4
L
8 Mar
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Trans Narva
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Paide – last 5
WWLWW
15 Mar
vs Trans Narva
1–0
W
11 Mar
vs Tallinna Kalev
6–0
W
7 Mar
@ Vaprus
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Super Nova
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kalju Nomme
2–1
W
2.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kuressaare and Paide.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Kuressaare vs Paide?
On our numbers Kuressaare have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paide 56%.
How many goals will there be in Kuressaare vs Paide?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kuressaare vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Kuressaare 0–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kuressaare vs Paide?
Kuressaare vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Kuressaare Linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
