Paide 62%Draw 22%Nõmme United 16%Expected goals 2.16 – 1.17
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✓62% · @1.40
Double chancePaide or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Paide vs Nõmme United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 8 April the Meistriliiga brings Paide against Nõmme United at Paide linnastaadion. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Paide are 2nd, among the top four, on 64 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United are 8th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paide, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kuressaare, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Nõmme United, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Levadia Tallinn, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Paide, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Nõmme United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paide 2.2 xG, Nõmme United 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 62%, draw 22%, Nõmme United 16%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 2–1 Nõmme United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paide62%fair 1.62 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.33
Nõmme United16%fair 6.12 · @5.80
3.33Expected goals
2.16Paide xG
1.17Nõmme United xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Paide 2.2 – 1.2 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paide to win✓
62%
1.62
1.40
Double chance
Paide or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Draw no bet
Paide (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Paide -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Paide to score first✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Paide ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paide / FT Paide✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Paide – last 6
WWWLWW
3 Apr
@ Kuressaare
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Trans Narva
1–0
W
11 Mar
vs Tallinna Kalev
6–0
W
7 Mar
@ Vaprus
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Super Nova
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kalju Nomme
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nõmme United – last 5
DLWLL
4 Apr
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Tammeka
2–3
L
14 Mar
vs Vaprus
7–1
W
10 Mar
@ Flora Tallinn
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Flora Tallinn
0–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paide and Nõmme United.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Paide vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Paide have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nõmme United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Paide 2–1 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Nõmme United?
Paide vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
