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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Levadia Tallinn v Flora Tallinn: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · A. Le Coq Arena
4–0
FT
FC Levadia Tallinn 63%Draw 21%Flora Tallinn 16% Expected goals 2.36 – 1.00
84%
Betarazi pick

FC Levadia Tallinn or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: FC Levadia Tallinn to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Levadia Tallinn to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn welcome Flora Tallinn to A. Le Coq Arena for a Meistriliiga fixture on Sunday 19 April (12:30 WAT). In the table, FC Levadia Tallinn are 1st, leading the league, on 91 points after 36 matches; Flora Tallinn are 3rd (among the top four) with 62. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Levadia Tallinn, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kalju Nomme, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Flora Tallinn, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kuressaare, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Levadia Tallinn, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Flora Tallinn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Levadia Tallinn 2.4 xG, Flora Tallinn 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Levadia Tallinn 63%, draw 21%, Flora Tallinn 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Levadia Tallinn or draw (84%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: FC Levadia Tallinn to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Levadia Tallinn or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Levadia Tallinn 2–0 Flora Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Levadia Tallinn63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.25
Flora Tallinn16%fair 6.19 · @3.80
3.35Expected goals
2.36FC Levadia Tallinn xG
1.00Flora Tallinn xG
57%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%

From our goals model: FC Levadia Tallinn 2.4 – 1.0 Flora Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Levadia Tallinn to win ✓63%1.591.80 ▲
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw ✓84%1.191.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.75
Draw no betFC Levadia Tallinn (draw no bet) ✓80%1.26–
Asian handicapFC Levadia Tallinn -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
First team to scoreFC Levadia Tallinn to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultFC Levadia Tallinn ahead at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Levadia Tallinn / FT FC Levadia Tallinn ✓45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

FC Levadia Tallinn – last 5

DWDWW
12 Apr@ Kalju Nomme1–1D
8 Aprvs Vaprus2–1W
4 Aprvs Nõmme United1–1D
15 Mar@ Laagri3–1W
8 Marvs Kuressaare2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Flora Tallinn – last 6

WLLLWW
7 Aprvs Kuressaare2–1W
3 Apr@ Tammeka1–3L
22 Mar@ Laagri0–2L
15 Marvs Kalju Nomme0–1L
10 Marvs Nõmme United3–1W
7 Marvs Nõmme United3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Levadia Tallinn and Flora Tallinn.

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn?

Our pick is FC Levadia Tallinn or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn?

On our numbers FC Levadia Tallinn have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flora Tallinn 16%.

How many goals will there be in FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn?

Our predicted score is FC Levadia Tallinn 2–0 Flora Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn?

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.