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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Laagri v Paide: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Laagri kunstmurustaadion

Laagri

LWLW
2–2
FT

Paide

WWWWW
Laagri 26%Draw 24%Paide 49% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.53
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.58 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.58Odds

Picks by market

ResultPaide to win ✗49% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.36

Laagri vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Paide travel to face Laagri on Wednesday 22 April in the Meistriliiga, with Laagri kunstmurustaadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Laagri are 6th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Paide are 2nd (among the top four) with 64. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Laagri, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kalju Nomme, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Paide, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kalju Nomme, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Paide, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Laagri.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Laagri 1.4 xG, Paide 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Laagri 26%, draw 24%, Paide 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.58). Most likely score in line with that pick: Laagri 1–1 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Laagri26%fair 3.81 · @4.55
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.94
Paide49%fair 2.02 · @1.57
2.90Expected goals
1.37Laagri xG
1.53Paide xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Laagri 1.4 – 1.5 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPaide to win ✗49%2.021.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.53
Draw no betPaide (draw no bet)65%1.53–
Asian handicapLaagri +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.711.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.591.58
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.21
First team to scorePaide to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paide / FT Paide ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.36–

Recent results

Laagri – last 4

LWLW
8 Aprvs Kalju Nomme0–2L
22 Marvs Flora Tallinn2–0W
15 Marvs FC Levadia Tallinn1–3L
14 Febvs Riga Mariners4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Paide – last 6

WWWWWW
19 Aprvs Kalju Nomme1–0W
12 Apr@ Tammeka4–1W
8 Aprvs Nõmme United3–1W
3 Apr@ Kuressaare1–0W
15 Marvs Trans Narva1–0W
11 Marvs Tallinna Kalev6–0W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Laagri and Paide.

Laagri vs Paide head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Laagri vs Paide?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.

Who will win Laagri vs Paide?

On our numbers Laagri have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paide 49%.

How many goals will there be in Laagri vs Paide?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Laagri vs Paide?

Our predicted score is Laagri 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Laagri vs Paide?

Laagri vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Laagri kunstmurustaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.