Vaprus 45%Draw 22%Nõmme United 33%Expected goals 2.13 – 1.77
70%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.44
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultVaprus to win45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score70% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.32
Vaprus vs Nõmme United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 2 May the Meistriliiga brings Vaprus against Nõmme United at Parnu Rannastaadion. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Vaprus are 7th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United are 8th (in the drop zone) with 38. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vaprus, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kalju Nomme, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Nõmme United, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–7 defeat to Kalju Nomme, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Vaprus, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Nõmme United.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Nõmme United 7–1 Vaprus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vaprus 2.1 xG, Nõmme United 1.8 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vaprus 45%, draw 22%, Nõmme United 33%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vaprus 2–1 Nõmme United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vaprus45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.50
Nõmme United33%fair 3.07 · @2.80
3.90Expected goals
2.13Vaprus xG
1.77Nõmme United xG
70%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Vaprus 2.1 – 1.8 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Vaprus have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nõmme United 33%.
How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Vaprus 2–1 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
Vaprus vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
