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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vaprus v Trans Narva: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Parnu Rannastaadion

Vaprus

LWWLL
0–0
–
Vaprus 46%Draw 25%Trans Narva 30% Expected goals 1.90 – 1.42
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultVaprus to win46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.78

Vaprus vs Trans Narva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vaprus welcome Trans Narva to Parnu Rannastaadion for a Meistriliiga fixture on Saturday 9 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Vaprus are 7th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Trans Narva are 10th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vaprus, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Paide, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Trans Narva, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Flora Tallinn, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Vaprus, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Trans Narva.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Vaprus 0–2 Trans Narva.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vaprus 1.9 xG, Trans Narva 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vaprus 46%, draw 25%, Trans Narva 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vaprus 1–1 Trans Narva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vaprus46%fair 2.18 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.20
Trans Narva30%fair 3.37 · @3.00
3.31Expected goals
1.90Vaprus xG
1.42Trans Narva xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: Vaprus 1.9 – 1.4 Trans Narva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVaprus to win46%2.182.15
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score63%1.581.57
Draw no betVaprus (draw no bet)61%1.65–
Asian handicapTrans Narva +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals58%1.73–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals76%1.32–
First team to scoreVaprus to score first55%1.81–
Half-time resultVaprus ahead at half-time38%2.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vaprus / FT Vaprus30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.78–

Recent results

Vaprus – last 6

LWWLLW
6 May@ Paide0–2L
26 Apr@ Kalju Nomme2–1W
21 Apr@ Kuressaare1–0W
8 Apr@ FC Levadia Tallinn1–2L
14 Mar@ Nõmme United1–7L
10 Marvs Tartu Welco2–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Trans Narva – last 6

LLLWLL
5 May@ Flora Tallinn0–1L
1 Mayvs Kalju Nomme0–3L
22 Apr@ Flora Tallinn0–6L
7 Aprvs Tammeka3–0W
3 Apr@ Kalju Nomme1–2L
15 Mar@ Paide0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Vaprus v Trans Narva0–2
Vaprus vs Trans Narva head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vaprus vs Trans Narva?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Vaprus vs Trans Narva?

On our numbers Vaprus have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Trans Narva 30%.

How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Trans Narva?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Trans Narva?

Our predicted score is Vaprus 1–1 Trans Narva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Vaprus vs Trans Narva?

Vaprus vs Trans Narva (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.