Nõmme United 25%Draw 23%Paide 51%Expected goals 1.45 – 1.90
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✓51% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Nõmme United vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Meistriliiga brings Nõmme United against Paide. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Nõmme United are 8th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Paide are 2nd (among the top four) with 64. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nõmme United, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–7 defeat to Kalju Nomme, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Paide, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vaprus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Paide, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Nõmme United.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Paide 3–1 Nõmme United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United 1.5 xG, Paide 1.9 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United 25%, draw 23%, Paide 51%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United 1–1 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme United25%fair 3.93 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.90
Paide51%fair 1.96 · @1.65
3.35Expected goals
1.45Nõmme United xG
1.90Paide xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 1.5 – 1.9 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Paide?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paide 51%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Paide?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Paide?
Nõmme United vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
