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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vaprus v Kalju Nomme: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Parnu Rannastaadion

Vaprus

LLWWL
3–1
FT
Vaprus 19%Draw 22%Kalju Nomme 59% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.88
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultKalju Nomme to win ✗59% · @1.44
Double chanceKalju Nomme or draw ✗81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 30 May the Meistriliiga brings Vaprus against Kalju Nomme at Parnu Rannastaadion. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Vaprus are 7th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Kalju Nomme are 4th (among the top four) with 61. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vaprus, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to FC Levadia Tallinn, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Kalju Nomme, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Laagri, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kalju Nomme, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Vaprus.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Kalju Nomme 1–2 Vaprus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vaprus 1.2 xG, Kalju Nomme 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vaprus 19%, draw 22%, Kalju Nomme 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vaprus 1–1 Kalju Nomme. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vaprus19%fair 5.15 · @6.00
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.00
Kalju Nomme59%fair 1.71 · @1.44
3.06Expected goals
1.18Vaprus xG
1.88Kalju Nomme xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–36%

From our goals model: Vaprus 1.2 – 1.9 Kalju Nomme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKalju Nomme to win ✗59%1.711.44
Double chanceKalju Nomme or draw ✗81%1.241.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.75
Draw no betKalju Nomme (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapVaprus +1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreKalju Nomme to score first ✗59%1.71–
Half-time resultKalju Nomme ahead at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kalju Nomme / FT Kalju Nomme ✗33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

Vaprus – last 6

LLWWLL
24 Mayvs FC Levadia Tallinn1–6L
6 May@ Paide0–2L
26 Apr@ Kalju Nomme2–1W
21 Apr@ Kuressaare1–0W
8 Apr@ FC Levadia Tallinn1–2L
14 Mar@ Nõmme United1–7L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kalju Nomme – last 6

WWLWLW
20 Mayvs Laagri1–0W
17 May@ Kuressaare2–0W
10 Mayvs Flora Tallinn0–1L
1 May@ Trans Narva3–0W
26 Aprvs Vaprus1–2L
22 Aprvs Nõmme United7–1W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Kalju Nomme v Vaprus1–2
Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

On our numbers Vaprus have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kalju Nomme 59%.

How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

Our predicted score is Vaprus 1–1 Kalju Nomme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.