Paide 59%Draw 24%Kuressaare 17%Expected goals 1.62 – 0.86
59%
Betarazi pick
Paide to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✗59% · @1.40
Double chancePaide or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Paide vs Kuressaare: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 31 May: Paide v Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga, played at Paide linnastaadion. In the table, Paide are 2nd, among the top four, on 64 points after 36 matches; Kuressaare are 9th (in the drop zone) with 37. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paide, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Trans Narva, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Kuressaare, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nõmme United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Paide, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Kuressaare.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Kuressaare 0–1 Paide.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paide 1.6 xG, Kuressaare 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 59%, draw 24%, Kuressaare 17%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paide to win (59%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 1–0 Kuressaare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paide59%fair 1.70 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @4.20
Kuressaare17%fair 5.91 · @6.00
2.48Expected goals
1.62Paide xG
0.86Kuressaare xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Paide 1.6 – 0.9 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Paide vs Kuressaare?
On our numbers Paide have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kuressaare 17%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Kuressaare?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Kuressaare?
Our predicted score is Paide 1–0 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Kuressaare?
Paide vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
