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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vaprus v Kuressaare: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Parnu Rannastaadion

Vaprus

LDWLL
1–0
FT
Vaprus 51%Draw 25%Kuressaare 24% Expected goals 1.70 – 1.22
76%
Betarazi pick

Vaprus or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultVaprus to win ✓51% · @1.80
Double chanceVaprus or draw ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Vaprus vs Kuressaare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vaprus welcome Kuressaare to Parnu Rannastaadion for a Meistriliiga fixture on Friday 26 June (18:00 WAT). In the table, Vaprus are 7th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Kuressaare are 9th (in the drop zone) with 37. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Vaprus, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Flora Tallinn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Kuressaare, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Trans Narva, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Kuressaare 0–1 Vaprus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vaprus 1.7 xG, Kuressaare 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vaprus 51%, draw 25%, Kuressaare 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vaprus or draw (76%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vaprus or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vaprus 1–1 Kuressaare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vaprus51%fair 1.95 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.50
Kuressaare24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
2.92Expected goals
1.70Vaprus xG
1.22Kuressaare xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: Vaprus 1.7 – 1.2 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVaprus to win ✓51%1.951.80
Double chanceVaprus or draw ✓76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.57
Draw no betVaprus (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapKuressaare +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.261.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.571.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.20
First team to scoreVaprus to score first ✓55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vaprus / FT Vaprus ✓29%3.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

Vaprus – last 6

LDWLLW
16 Junvs Flora Tallinn1–2L
13 Jun@ Tammeka0–0D
30 Mayvs Kalju Nomme3–1W
24 Mayvs FC Levadia Tallinn1–6L
6 May@ Paide0–2L
26 Apr@ Kalju Nomme2–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kuressaare – last 6

DWDWLL
16 Junvs Trans Narva0–0D
13 Jun@ Laagri3–2W
31 May@ Paide1–1D
20 Mayvs Nõmme United2–1W
17 Mayvs Kalju Nomme0–2L
8 May@ Tammeka0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026Kuressaare v Vaprus0–1
Vaprus vs Kuressaare head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

Our pick is Vaprus or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

On our numbers Vaprus have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kuressaare 24%.

How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

Our predicted score is Vaprus 1–1 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

Vaprus vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.