Paide 57%Draw 23%Vaprus 20%Expected goals 1.83 – 1.06
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✓57% · @1.57
Double chancePaide or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Paide vs Vaprus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Paide v Vaprus in the Meistriliiga, played at Paide linnastaadion. In the table, Paide are 2nd, among the top four, on 64 points after 36 matches; Vaprus are 7th (lower half) with 40. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paide, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kalju Nomme, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Vaprus, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kuressaare, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Paide 2–0 Vaprus. The last 2 head-to-heads: Paide 1 win, Vaprus 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paide 1.8 xG, Vaprus 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 57%, draw 23%, Vaprus 20%.
Lower-risk option: Paide or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 1–1 Vaprus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paide57%fair 1.76 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.70
Vaprus20%fair 5.07 · @5.00
2.89Expected goals
1.83Paide xG
1.06Vaprus xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Paide 1.8 – 1.1 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Paide vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Paide have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vaprus 20%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Vaprus?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Paide 1–1 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Vaprus?
Paide vs Vaprus (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
