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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Laagri v Trans Narva: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Laagri kunstmurustaadion

Laagri

LLLLW
3–0
FT
Laagri 52%Draw 23%Trans Narva 25% Expected goals 1.92 – 1.12
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Laagri to win @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLaagri to win ✓52% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Laagri vs Trans Narva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Laagri welcome Trans Narva to Laagri kunstmurustaadion for a Meistriliiga fixture on Friday 10 July (17:00 WAT). In the table, Laagri are 6th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Trans Narva are 10th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Laagri, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tammeka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Trans Narva, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC Levadia Tallinn, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Laagri 3–0 Trans Narva.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Laagri 1.9 xG, Trans Narva 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Laagri 52%, draw 23%, Trans Narva 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Laagri to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Laagri 1–1 Trans Narva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Laagri52%fair 1.92 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Trans Narva25%fair 3.96 · @2.88
3.03Expected goals
1.92Laagri xG
1.12Trans Narva xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Laagri 1.9 – 1.1 Trans Narva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLaagri to win ✓52%1.922.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.57
Draw no betLaagri (draw no bet) ✓67%1.49–
Asian handicapTrans Narva +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.581.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
First team to scoreLaagri to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultLaagri ahead at half-time ✓41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Laagri / FT Laagri ✓35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Laagri – last 6

LLLLWL
5 Jul@ Tammeka1–2L
20 Junvs Nõmme United1–3L
17 Jun@ Paide0–1L
13 Junvs Kuressaare2–3L
30 Mayvs Trans Narva3–0W
20 May@ Kalju Nomme0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Trans Narva – last 6

LLDLWL
4 Julvs FC Levadia Tallinn1–3L
21 Jun@ Tammeka0–1L
16 Jun@ Kuressaare0–0D
13 Junvs Nõmme United1–2L
10 Junvs Vana Hea Puur10–0W
30 May@ Laagri0–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026Laagri v Trans Narva3–0
Laagri vs Trans Narva head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Laagri vs Trans Narva?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Laagri vs Trans Narva?

On our numbers Laagri have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Trans Narva 25%.

How many goals will there be in Laagri vs Trans Narva?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Laagri vs Trans Narva?

Our predicted score is Laagri 1–1 Trans Narva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Laagri vs Trans Narva?

Laagri vs Trans Narva (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Laagri kunstmurustaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.