Flora Tallinn vs Nõmme United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 17 July: Flora Tallinn v Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga, played at A. Le Coq Arena. In the table, Flora Tallinn are 3rd, among the top four, on 62 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United are 8th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Flora Tallinn, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Saburtalo, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Nõmme United, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Kuressaare, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended Nõmme United 0–4 Flora Tallinn. The last 3 head-to-heads: Flora Tallinn 3 wins, Nõmme United 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flora Tallinn 2.5 xG, Nõmme United 1.4 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flora Tallinn 66%, draw 18%, Nõmme United 16%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flora Tallinn 2–1 Nõmme United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flora Tallinn66%fair 1.52 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @5.75
Nõmme United16%fair 6.36 · @8.50
3.91Expected goals
2.54Flora Tallinn xG
1.38Nõmme United xG
64%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Flora Tallinn 2.5 – 1.4 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Flora Tallinn vs Nõmme United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Flora Tallinn vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Flora Tallinn have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nõmme United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Flora Tallinn vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flora Tallinn vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Flora Tallinn 2–1 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Flora Tallinn vs Nõmme United?
Flora Tallinn vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.