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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Trans Narva v Vaprus: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Narva Kalev-Fama staadion
3–1
FT

Vaprus

WLWLD
Trans Narva 34%Draw 25%Vaprus 41% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.62
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultVaprus to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Trans Narva vs Vaprus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Trans Narva welcome Vaprus to Narva Kalev-Fama staadion for a Meistriliiga fixture on Saturday 18 July (15:00 WAT). In the table, Trans Narva are 10th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 36 matches; Vaprus are 7th (lower half) with 40. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Trans Narva, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Laagri, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Vaprus, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Tammeka, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Vaprus, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Trans Narva.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Vaprus 0–2 Trans Narva.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Trans Narva 1.5 xG, Vaprus 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Trans Narva 34%, draw 25%, Vaprus 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trans Narva 1–1 Vaprus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Trans Narva34%fair 2.97 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.20
Vaprus41%fair 2.41 · @2.15
3.14Expected goals
1.51Trans Narva xG
1.62Vaprus xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%

From our goals model: Trans Narva 1.5 – 1.6 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVaprus to win ✗41%2.412.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.571.57
Draw no betVaprus (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapTrans Narva +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
First team to scoreVaprus to score first ✗50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vaprus / FT Vaprus ✗24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Trans Narva – last 6

LLLDLW
10 Jul@ Laagri0–3L
4 Julvs FC Levadia Tallinn1–3L
21 Jun@ Tammeka0–1L
16 Jun@ Kuressaare0–0D
13 Junvs Nõmme United1–2L
10 Junvs Vana Hea Puur10–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Vaprus – last 6

WLWLDW
11 Julvs Tammeka5–1W
4 Jul@ Paide1–3L
26 Junvs Kuressaare1–0W
16 Junvs Flora Tallinn1–2L
13 Jun@ Tammeka0–0D
30 Mayvs Kalju Nomme3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Vaprus v Trans Narva0–2
Trans Narva vs Vaprus head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trans Narva vs Vaprus?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Trans Narva vs Vaprus?

On our numbers Trans Narva have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vaprus 41%.

How many goals will there be in Trans Narva vs Vaprus?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trans Narva vs Vaprus?

Our predicted score is Trans Narva 1–1 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Trans Narva vs Vaprus?

Trans Narva vs Vaprus (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.