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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Laagri v Paide: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Laagri kunstmurustaadion

Laagri

WLLLL
5–2
FT

Paide

WDWDW
Laagri 26%Draw 25%Paide 49% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.50
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultPaide to win ✗49% · @1.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40

Laagri vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Paide travel to face Laagri on Sunday 19 July in the Meistriliiga, with Laagri kunstmurustaadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Laagri are 6th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Paide are 2nd (among the top four) with 64. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Laagri, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Trans Narva, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Paide, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Hegelmann Litauen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Paide, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Laagri.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jun 2026) it ended Paide 1–0 Laagri. The last 2 head-to-heads: Laagri 0 wins, Paide 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Laagri 1.4 xG, Paide 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Laagri 26%, draw 25%, Paide 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.52.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Laagri 1–1 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Laagri26%fair 3.79 · @4.50
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.94
Paide49%fair 2.05 · @1.58
2.87Expected goals
1.36Laagri xG
1.50Paide xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Laagri 1.4 – 1.5 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPaide to win ✗49%2.051.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.52
Draw no betPaide (draw no bet) ✗65%1.54–
Asian handicapLaagri +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.581.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.251.19
First team to scorePaide to score first49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paide / FT Paide ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.40–

Recent results

Laagri – last 6

WLLLLW
10 Julvs Trans Narva3–0W
5 Jul@ Tammeka1–2L
20 Junvs Nõmme United1–3L
17 Jun@ Paide0–1L
13 Junvs Kuressaare2–3L
30 Mayvs Trans Narva3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Paide – last 6

WDWDWW
16 Julvs Hegelmann Litauen3–0W
9 Jul@ Hegelmann Litauen1–1D
4 Julvs Vaprus3–1W
28 Jun@ Kalju Nomme1–1D
21 Jun@ Flora Tallinn2–1W
17 Junvs Laagri1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jun 2026Paide v Laagri1–0
22 Apr 2026Laagri v Paide2–2
Laagri vs Paide head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Laagri vs Paide?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Laagri vs Paide?

On our numbers Laagri have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paide 49%.

How many goals will there be in Laagri vs Paide?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Laagri vs Paide?

Our predicted score is Laagri 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Laagri vs Paide?

Laagri vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Laagri kunstmurustaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.