Paide 56%Draw 25%Kuressaare 19%Expected goals 1.69 – 0.97
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✓56% · @1.53
Double chancePaide or draw ✓81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Paide vs Kuressaare: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Paide v Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga, played at Paide linnastaadion. In the table, Paide are 2nd, among the top four, on 64 points after 36 matches; Kuressaare are 9th (in the drop zone) with 37. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paide, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Zira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Kuressaare, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Welco X, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Paide, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Kuressaare.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Paide 1–1 Kuressaare. The last 2 head-to-heads: Paide 1 win, Kuressaare 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paide 1.7 xG, Kuressaare 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 56%, draw 25%, Kuressaare 19%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 1–0 Kuressaare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paide56%fair 1.78 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @4.10
Kuressaare19%fair 5.40 · @4.80
2.66Expected goals
1.69Paide xG
0.97Kuressaare xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Paide 1.7 – 1.0 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Paide vs Kuressaare?
On our numbers Paide have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kuressaare 19%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Kuressaare?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Kuressaare?
Our predicted score is Paide 1–0 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Kuressaare?
Paide vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
