Paide 66%Draw 20%Vaprus 14%Expected goals 2.18 – 0.91
66%
Betarazi pick
Paide to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chancePaide or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Paide vs Vaprus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paide welcome Vaprus to Paide linnastaadion for a Meistriliiga fixture on Wednesday 16 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Paide are 2nd, among the top four, on 64 points after 36 matches; Vaprus are 7th (lower half) with 40. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paide, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Laagri, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Vaprus, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FC Levadia Tallinn, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Paide 3–1 Vaprus. The last 3 head-to-heads: Paide 2 wins, Vaprus 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paide 2.2 xG, Vaprus 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 66%, draw 20%, Vaprus 14%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paide to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 2–0 Vaprus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paide66%fair 1.52 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.20
Vaprus14%fair 6.90 · @5.50
3.09Expected goals
2.18Paide xG
0.91Vaprus xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Paide 2.2 – 0.9 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Paide vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Paide have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vaprus 14%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Vaprus?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Paide 2–0 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Vaprus?
Paide vs Vaprus (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
