Trans Narva vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Trans Narva v Paide in the Meistriliiga, played at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion. In the table, Trans Narva are 10th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 36 matches; Paide are 2nd (among the top four) with 64. There are 41 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Trans Narva, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 8–0 win over Kompanii Marjamaa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Paide, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rapid Vienna, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Trans Narva, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Paide.
Head to head
When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Trans Narva 1–0 Paide. The last 2 head-to-heads: Trans Narva 1 win, Paide 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trans Narva 1.1 xG, Paide 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trans Narva 23%, draw 19%, Paide 57%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trans Narva 1–1 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trans Narva23%fair 4.30 · @3.65
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.65
Paide57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
2.92Expected goals
1.07Trans Narva xG
1.85Paide xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
1–06%
From our goals model: Trans Narva 1.1 – 1.9 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Trans Narva vs Paide?
On our numbers Trans Narva have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Paide 57%.
How many goals will there be in Trans Narva vs Paide?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trans Narva vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Trans Narva 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Trans Narva vs Paide?
Trans Narva vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
