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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Levadia Tallinn v Kuressaare: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · A. Le Coq Arena
4–0
FT
FC Levadia Tallinn 78%Draw 15%Kuressaare 7% Expected goals 2.66 – 0.74
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Levadia Tallinn to win ✓78% · @1.11
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 9 September the Meistriliiga brings FC Levadia Tallinn against Kuressaare at A. Le Coq Arena. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, FC Levadia Tallinn are 1st, leading the league, on 91 points after 36 matches; Kuressaare are 9th (in the drop zone) with 37. There are 54 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Levadia Tallinn, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Paide, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kuressaare, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Trans Narva, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours FC Levadia Tallinn, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Kuressaare.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Kuressaare 1–2 FC Levadia Tallinn. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Levadia Tallinn 2 wins, Kuressaare 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Levadia Tallinn 2.7 xG, Kuressaare 0.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Levadia Tallinn 78%, draw 15%, Kuressaare 7%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Levadia Tallinn 3–0 Kuressaare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Levadia Tallinn78%fair 1.29 · @1.11
Draw15%fair 6.65 · @7.20
Kuressaare7%fair 13.59 · @17.00
3.40Expected goals
2.66FC Levadia Tallinn xG
0.74Kuressaare xG
56%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
3–010%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
4–07%

From our goals model: FC Levadia Tallinn 2.7 – 0.7 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Levadia Tallinn to win ✓78%1.291.11
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw ✓93%1.08–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.93 ▲
Draw no betFC Levadia Tallinn (draw no bet) ✓91%1.09–
Asian handicapFC Levadia Tallinn -1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.461.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.931.95
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.431.42
First team to scoreFC Levadia Tallinn to score first ✓76%1.32–
Half-time resultFC Levadia Tallinn ahead at half-time ✓58%1.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Levadia Tallinn / FT FC Levadia Tallinn ✓54%1.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.46–

Recent results

FC Levadia Tallinn – last 6

WWWWWW
6 Sep@ Paide2–0W
30 Aug@ Kalju Nomme3–2W
26 Augvs Paide4–1W
21 Augvs Trans Narva4–0W
16 Aug@ Laagri2–1W
9 Augvs Nõmme United5–0W
3.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kuressaare – last 6

WDLWWW
5 Sepvs Trans Narva3–1W
29 Augvs Vaprus2–2D
22 Aug@ Tammeka0–1L
16 Aug@ Flora Tallinn3–2W
11 Aug@ Kristiine JK8–0W
7 Augvs Laagri3–2W
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Kuressaare v FC Levadia Tallinn1–2
8 Mar 2026FC Levadia Tallinn v Kuressaare2–0
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare?

On our numbers FC Levadia Tallinn have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Kuressaare 7%.

How many goals will there be in FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare?

Our predicted score is FC Levadia Tallinn 3–0 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare?

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.