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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nõmme United v Flora Tallinn: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia
2–3
FT
Nõmme United 13%Draw 19%Flora Tallinn 67% Expected goals 1.08 – 2.51
67%
Betarazi pick

Flora Tallinn to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultFlora Tallinn to win ✓67% · @1.53
Double chanceFlora Tallinn or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.64

Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Nõmme United v Flora Tallinn in the Meistriliiga. In the table, Nõmme United are 8th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Flora Tallinn are 3rd (among the top four) with 62. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nõmme United, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kalju Nomme, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Flora Tallinn, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Trans Narva, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended Flora Tallinn 1–2 Nõmme United. The last 4 head-to-heads: Nõmme United 1 win, Flora Tallinn 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United 1.1 xG, Flora Tallinn 2.5 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 51% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United 13%, draw 19%, Flora Tallinn 67%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Flora Tallinn to win (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United 1–2 Flora Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nõmme United13%fair 7.47 · @4.80
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.00
Flora Tallinn67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
3.59Expected goals
1.08Nõmme United xG
2.51Flora Tallinn xG
51%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–37%
0–17%

From our goals model: Nõmme United 1.1 – 2.5 Flora Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlora Tallinn to win ✓67%1.491.53
Double chanceFlora Tallinn or draw ✓87%1.15–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.95–
Draw no betFlora Tallinn (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapFlora Tallinn -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
First team to scoreFlora Tallinn to score first ✗68%1.47–
Half-time resultFlora Tallinn ahead at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flora Tallinn / FT Flora Tallinn ✗46%2.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.64–

Recent results

Nõmme United – last 6

WLWLLW
8 Sep@ Kalju Nomme2–1W
5 Sep@ Vaprus0–1L
2 Sepvs Vaprus3–2W
29 Augvs Laagri1–2L
23 Aug@ Paide1–4L
19 Aug@ Hiiumaa2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Flora Tallinn – last 6

DWWLLW
8 Sep@ Trans Narva2–2D
5 Sepvs Kalju Nomme2–1W
2 Sepvs Tammeka3–2W
30 Augvs Paide1–2L
26 Aug@ Tammeka1–3L
23 Aug@ Vaprus2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jul 2026Flora Tallinn v Nõmme United1–2
29 May 2026Nõmme United v Flora Tallinn0–4
10 Mar 2026Flora Tallinn v Nõmme United3–1
7 Mar 2026Flora Tallinn v Nõmme United3–0
Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?

Our pick is Flora Tallinn to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?

On our numbers Nõmme United have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Flora Tallinn 67%.

How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?

Our predicted score is Nõmme United 1–2 Flora Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?

Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.