Flora Tallinn 66%Draw 19%Vaprus 15%Expected goals 2.28 – 1.01
66%
Betarazi pick
Flora Tallinn to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultFlora Tallinn to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceFlora Tallinn or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Flora Tallinn welcome Vaprus to A. Le Coq Arena for a Meistriliiga fixture on Sunday 20 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Flora Tallinn are 3rd, among the top four, on 62 points after 36 matches; Vaprus are 7th (lower half) with 40. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Flora Tallinn, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Nõmme United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Vaprus, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Paide, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Flora Tallinn, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Vaprus.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Vaprus 1–2 Flora Tallinn. The last 2 head-to-heads: Flora Tallinn 2 wins, Vaprus 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flora Tallinn 2.3 xG, Vaprus 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flora Tallinn 66%, draw 19%, Vaprus 15%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Flora Tallinn to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flora Tallinn 2–1 Vaprus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flora Tallinn66%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.20
Vaprus15%fair 6.62 · @5.00
3.29Expected goals
2.28Flora Tallinn xG
1.01Vaprus xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Flora Tallinn 2.3 – 1.0 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus?
Our pick is Flora Tallinn to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Flora Tallinn have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Vaprus 15%.
How many goals will there be in Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Flora Tallinn 2–1 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus?
Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
