Nõmme United 19%Draw 19%Paide 62%Expected goals 1.17 – 2.24
81%
Betarazi pick
Paide or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chancePaide or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Nõmme United vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paide travel to face Nõmme United on Saturday 19 September in the Meistriliiga – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Nõmme United are 8th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Paide are 2nd (among the top four) with 64. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nõmme United, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Flora Tallinn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Paide, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vaprus, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Paide, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Nõmme United.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Paide 4–1 Nõmme United. The last 3 head-to-heads: Nõmme United 0 wins, Paide 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United 1.2 xG, Paide 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United 19%, draw 19%, Paide 62%.
Lower-risk option: Paide or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paide or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United 1–2 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme United19%fair 5.28 · @4.20
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.80
Paide62%fair 1.62 · @1.62
3.41Expected goals
1.17Nõmme United xG
2.24Paide xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 1.2 – 2.2 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Paide?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Paide 62%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Paide?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 1–2 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Paide?
Nõmme United vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
