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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vaprus v Trans Narva: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Parnu Rannastaadion

Vaprus

LLLWW
2–2
FT
Vaprus 40%Draw 23%Trans Narva 37% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.54
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultVaprus to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Vaprus vs Trans Narva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vaprus welcome Trans Narva to Parnu Rannastaadion for a Meistriliiga fixture on Saturday 10 October (12:30 WAT). In the table, Vaprus are 7th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Trans Narva are 10th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vaprus, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Flora Tallinn, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Trans Narva, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Levadia Tallinn, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Trans Narva 3–1 Vaprus. The last 2 head-to-heads: Vaprus 0 wins, Trans Narva 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vaprus 1.6 xG, Trans Narva 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vaprus 40%, draw 23%, Trans Narva 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vaprus 1–1 Trans Narva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vaprus40%fair 2.48 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Trans Narva37%fair 2.70 · @2.50
3.16Expected goals
1.62Vaprus xG
1.54Trans Narva xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: Vaprus 1.6 – 1.5 Trans Narva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVaprus to win ✗40%2.482.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.50
Draw no betVaprus (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapTrans Narva +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreVaprus to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vaprus / FT Vaprus ✗24%4.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

Vaprus – last 6

LLLWWL
20 Sep@ Flora Tallinn2–3L
16 Sep@ Paide0–2L
12 Sep@ FC Levadia Tallinn0–4L
9 Sepvs Laagri3–2W
5 Sepvs Nõmme United1–0W
2 Sep@ Nõmme United2–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Trans Narva – last 6

DLDLLW
20 Sepvs FC Levadia Tallinn1–1D
12 Sep@ Kalju Nomme0–2L
8 Sepvs Flora Tallinn2–2D
5 Sep@ Kuressaare1–3L
30 Augvs Tammeka0–2L
26 Augvs Kalju Nomme2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Trans Narva v Vaprus3–1
15 Feb 2026Vaprus v Trans Narva0–2
Vaprus vs Trans Narva head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vaprus vs Trans Narva?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Vaprus vs Trans Narva?

On our numbers Vaprus have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Trans Narva 37%.

How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Trans Narva?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Trans Narva?

Our predicted score is Vaprus 1–1 Trans Narva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Vaprus vs Trans Narva?

Vaprus vs Trans Narva (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.