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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nõmme United v Kalju Nomme: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia
3–0
FT
Nõmme United 16%Draw 24%Kalju Nomme 60% Expected goals 1.12 – 2.19
84%
Betarazi pick

Kalju Nomme or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultKalju Nomme to win ✗60% · @1.65
Double chanceKalju Nomme or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:30 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Nõmme United v Kalju Nomme in the Meistriliiga. In the table, Nõmme United are 8th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Kalju Nomme are 4th (among the top four) with 61. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nõmme United, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Laagri, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Kalju Nomme, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vaprus, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kalju Nomme, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Nõmme United.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Sep 2026) it ended Kalju Nomme 1–2 Nõmme United. The last 3 head-to-heads: Nõmme United 1 win, Kalju Nomme 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United 1.1 xG, Kalju Nomme 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United 16%, draw 24%, Kalju Nomme 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kalju Nomme or draw (84%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kalju Nomme or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United 1–2 Kalju Nomme. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nõmme United16%fair 6.21 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.80
Kalju Nomme60%fair 1.68 · @1.65
3.31Expected goals
1.12Nõmme United xG
2.19Kalju Nomme xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Nõmme United 1.1 – 2.2 Kalju Nomme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKalju Nomme to win ✗60%1.681.65
Double chanceKalju Nomme or draw ✗84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.521.40
Draw no betKalju Nomme (draw no bet) ✗79%1.27–
Asian handicapKalju Nomme -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreKalju Nomme to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultKalju Nomme ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kalju Nomme / FT Kalju Nomme ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Nõmme United – last 6

LLLLWL
13 Oct@ Laagri0–2L
10 Oct@ Tammeka0–4L
19 Sepvs Paide1–3L
12 Sepvs Flora Tallinn2–3L
8 Sep@ Kalju Nomme2–1W
5 Sep@ Vaprus0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kalju Nomme – last 6

DLWWLL
13 Oct@ Vaprus2–2D
10 Octvs Laagri0–1L
20 Sep@ Tammeka3–1W
12 Sepvs Trans Narva2–0W
8 Sepvs Nõmme United1–2L
5 Sep@ Flora Tallinn1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Sep 2026Kalju Nomme v Nõmme United1–2
3 Jul 2026Nõmme United v Kalju Nomme1–3
22 Apr 2026Kalju Nomme v Nõmme United7–1
Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme?

Our pick is Kalju Nomme or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme?

On our numbers Nõmme United have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kalju Nomme 60%.

How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme?

Our predicted score is Nõmme United 1–2 Kalju Nomme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme?

Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.