Paide 63%Draw 21%Trans Narva 15%Expected goals 2.02 – 0.88
63%
Betarazi pick
Paide to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chancePaide or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.12
Paide vs Trans Narva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Meistriliiga brings Paide against Trans Narva at Paide linnastaadion. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Paide are 2nd, among the top four, on 64 points after 36 matches; Trans Narva are 10th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 41 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paide, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tammeka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Trans Narva, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kuressaare, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Paide, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Trans Narva.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Trans Narva 1–1 Paide. The last 3 head-to-heads: Paide 1 win, Trans Narva 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paide 2.0 xG, Trans Narva 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 63%, draw 21%, Trans Narva 15%.
Lower-risk option: Paide or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paide to win (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 2–0 Trans Narva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paide63%fair 1.58 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.80
Trans Narva15%fair 6.62 · @5.00
2.90Expected goals
2.02Paide xG
0.88Trans Narva xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Paide 2.0 – 0.9 Trans Narva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Paide vs Trans Narva?
On our numbers Paide have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Trans Narva 15%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Trans Narva?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Trans Narva?
Our predicted score is Paide 2–0 Trans Narva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Trans Narva?
Paide vs Trans Narva (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
