Nõmme United 46%Draw 20%Vaprus 34%Expected goals 1.94 – 1.65
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultNõmme United to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Nõmme United vs Vaprus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nõmme United welcome Vaprus for a Meistriliiga fixture on Friday 23 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Nõmme United are 8th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Vaprus are 7th (lower half) with 40. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nõmme United, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kalju Nomme, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Vaprus, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Laagri, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nõmme United, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Vaprus.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended Vaprus 1–0 Nõmme United. The last 3 head-to-heads: Nõmme United 2 wins, Vaprus 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United 1.9 xG, Vaprus 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United 46%, draw 20%, Vaprus 34%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United 1–1 Vaprus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme United46%fair 2.18 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.60
Vaprus34%fair 2.93 · @2.90
3.59Expected goals
1.94Nõmme United xG
1.65Vaprus xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 1.9 – 1.7 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vaprus 34%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 1–1 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Nõmme United vs Vaprus (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
