Kuressaare 16%Draw 20%Paide 64%Expected goals 0.83 – 1.92
84%
Betarazi pick
Paide or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Paide to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chancePaide or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Kuressaare vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Meistriliiga brings Kuressaare against Paide at Kuressaare Linnastaadion. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Kuressaare are 9th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; Paide are 2nd (among the top four) with 64. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kuressaare, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Levadia Tallinn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Paide, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Trans Narva, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Paide 1–0 Kuressaare. The last 3 head-to-heads: Kuressaare 0 wins, Paide 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kuressaare 0.8 xG, Paide 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kuressaare 16%, draw 20%, Paide 64%.
Lower-risk option: Paide or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Paide to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paide or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kuressaare 0–1 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kuressaare16%fair 6.29 · @3.70
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
Paide64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
2.75Expected goals
0.83Kuressaare xG
1.92Paide xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–06%
From our goals model: Kuressaare 0.8 – 1.9 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kuressaare vs Paide?
On our numbers Kuressaare have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paide 64%.
How many goals will there be in Kuressaare vs Paide?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kuressaare vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Kuressaare 0–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kuressaare vs Paide?
Kuressaare vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Kuressaare Linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
