Trans Narva 18%Draw 24%Nõmme United 58%Expected goals 1.24 – 2.26
82%
Betarazi pick
Nõmme United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultNõmme United to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceNõmme United or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Trans Narva vs Nõmme United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nõmme United travel to face Trans Narva on Tuesday 27 October in the Meistriliiga, with Narva Kalev-Fama staadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Trans Narva are 10th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United are 8th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Trans Narva, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Tammeka, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nõmme United, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Vaprus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nõmme United, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Trans Narva.
Head to head
When they last met (31 Jul 2026) it ended Nõmme United 1–2 Trans Narva. The last 2 head-to-heads: Trans Narva 1 win, Nõmme United 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trans Narva 1.2 xG, Nõmme United 2.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trans Narva 18%, draw 24%, Nõmme United 58%.
Lower-risk option: Nõmme United or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nõmme United or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trans Narva 1–2 Nõmme United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trans Narva18%fair 5.60 · @3.80
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.70
Nõmme United58%fair 1.71 · @1.75
3.50Expected goals
1.24Trans Narva xG
2.26Nõmme United xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Trans Narva 1.2 – 2.3 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
Our pick is Nõmme United or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Trans Narva have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nõmme United 58%.
How many goals will there be in Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Trans Narva 1–2 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
Trans Narva vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
