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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vaprus v Paide: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Parnu Rannastaadion

Vaprus

DLLDD
0–1
FT

Paide

LWWWL
Vaprus 24%Draw 19%Paide 57% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.92
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultPaide to win ✓57% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Vaprus vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Vaprus v Paide in the Meistriliiga, played at Parnu Rannastaadion. In the table, Vaprus are 7th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Paide are 2nd (among the top four) with 64. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vaprus, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kuressaare, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Paide, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kalju Nomme, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Paide, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Vaprus.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Sep 2026) it ended Paide 2–0 Vaprus. The last 4 head-to-heads: Vaprus 1 win, Paide 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vaprus 1.1 xG, Paide 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vaprus 24%, draw 19%, Paide 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vaprus 1–1 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vaprus24%fair 4.18 · @3.40
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.90
Paide57%fair 1.75 · @1.75
3.06Expected goals
1.14Vaprus xG
1.92Paide xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Vaprus 1.1 – 1.9 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPaide to win ✓57%1.751.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.50
Draw no betPaide (draw no bet) ✓70%1.42–
Asian handicapVaprus +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scorePaide to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultPaide ahead at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paide / FT Paide ✓35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Vaprus – last 6

DLLDDL
28 Octvs Kuressaare1–1D
23 Oct@ Nõmme United2–4L
18 Oct@ Laagri0–2L
13 Octvs Kalju Nomme2–2D
10 Octvs Trans Narva2–2D
20 Sep@ Flora Tallinn2–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Paide – last 6

LWWWLW
28 Octvs Kalju Nomme0–2L
24 Oct@ Kuressaare1–0W
18 Octvs Trans Narva2–1W
14 Octvs Tammeka2–1W
11 Oct@ FC Levadia Tallinn0–1L
19 Sep@ Nõmme United3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Sep 2026Paide v Vaprus2–0
4 Jul 2026Paide v Vaprus3–1
6 May 2026Paide v Vaprus2–0
7 Mar 2026Vaprus v Paide3–2
Vaprus vs Paide head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vaprus vs Paide?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Vaprus vs Paide?

On our numbers Vaprus have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Paide 57%.

How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Paide?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Paide?

Our predicted score is Vaprus 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Vaprus vs Paide?

Vaprus vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.