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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kuressaare v Nõmme United: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Kuressaare Linnastaadion
1–1
FT
Kuressaare 22%Draw 22%Nõmme United 56% Expected goals 1.21 – 2.02
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: Nõmme United to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNõmme United to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Kuressaare vs Nõmme United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nõmme United travel to face Kuressaare on Saturday 7 November in the Meistriliiga, with Kuressaare Linnastaadion the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT. In the table, Kuressaare are 9th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United are 8th (in the drop zone) with 38. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kuressaare, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kalju Nomme, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Nõmme United, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to FC Levadia Tallinn, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Nõmme United 3–2 Kuressaare. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kuressaare 1 win, Nõmme United 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kuressaare 1.2 xG, Nõmme United 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kuressaare 22%, draw 22%, Nõmme United 56%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Nõmme United to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kuressaare 1–2 Nõmme United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kuressaare22%fair 4.45 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Nõmme United56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
3.23Expected goals
1.21Kuressaare xG
2.02Nõmme United xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%

From our goals model: Kuressaare 1.2 – 2.0 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNõmme United to win ✗56%1.791.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.44
Draw no betNõmme United (draw no bet)71%1.40–
Asian handicapKuressaare +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.211.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.601.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.741.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
First team to scoreNõmme United to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultNõmme United ahead at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nõmme United / FT Nõmme United ✗35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Kuressaare – last 6

LDLLWW
1 Nov@ Kalju Nomme0–1L
28 Oct@ Vaprus1–1D
24 Octvs Paide0–1L
18 Octvs FC Levadia Tallinn0–2L
14 Oct@ Trans Narva1–0W
11 Octvs Flora Tallinn2–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Nõmme United – last 6

LWWWLL
31 Octvs FC Levadia Tallinn3–4L
27 Oct@ Trans Narva1–0W
23 Octvs Vaprus4–2W
17 Octvs Kalju Nomme3–0W
13 Oct@ Laagri0–2L
10 Oct@ Tammeka0–4L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Nõmme United v Kuressaare3–2
20 May 2026Kuressaare v Nõmme United2–1
Kuressaare vs Nõmme United head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?

On our numbers Kuressaare have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nõmme United 56%.

How many goals will there be in Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?

Our predicted score is Kuressaare 1–2 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?

Kuressaare vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Kuressaare Linnastaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.