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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Carlos Renaux v Joinville: numbers & prediction

Catarinense 1 · Brazil

Carlos Renaux

L
2–1
FT

Joinville

W
Carlos Renaux 43%Draw 23%Joinville 33% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.13
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCarlos Renaux to win ✓43% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.69

Carlos Renaux vs Joinville: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Joinville travel to face Carlos Renaux on Thursday 19 February in the Catarinense 1 – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended Joinville 3–0 Carlos Renaux.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Carlos Renaux 1.3 xG, Joinville 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Carlos Renaux 43%, draw 23%, Joinville 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carlos Renaux 1–1 Joinville. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Carlos Renaux43%fair 2.31 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Joinville33%fair 2.99 · @2.90
2.46Expected goals
1.33Carlos Renaux xG
1.13Joinville xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Carlos Renaux 1.3 – 1.1 Joinville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCarlos Renaux to win ✓43%2.312.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.83
Draw no betCarlos Renaux (draw no bet) ✓56%1.77–
Asian handicapJoinville +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreCarlos Renaux to score first50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Carlos Renaux / FT Carlos Renaux ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.69–

Recent results

Carlos Renaux – last 1

L
14 Feb@ Joinville0–3L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Joinville – last 1

W
14 Febvs Carlos Renaux3–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026Joinville v Carlos Renaux3–0
Carlos Renaux vs Joinville head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carlos Renaux vs Joinville?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Carlos Renaux vs Joinville?

On our numbers Carlos Renaux have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Joinville 33%.

How many goals will there be in Carlos Renaux vs Joinville?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Carlos Renaux vs Joinville?

Our predicted score is Carlos Renaux 1–1 Joinville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Carlos Renaux vs Joinville?

Carlos Renaux vs Joinville (Catarinense 1) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.