Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Figueirense welcome Marcílio Dias for a Catarinense 1 fixture on Saturday 21 February (00:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Figueirense 1.3 xG, Marcílio Dias 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Figueirense 46%, draw 26%, Marcílio Dias 27%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Figueirense 1–1 Marcílio Dias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Figueirense46%fair 2.15 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Marcílio Dias27%fair 3.65 · @3.50
2.36Expected goals
1.31Figueirense xG
1.05Marcílio Dias xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Figueirense 1.3 – 1.0 Marcílio Dias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Figueirense to win✗
46%
2.15
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.93
Draw no bet
Figueirense (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Marcílio Dias +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Figueirense to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Figueirense / FT Figueirense✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Figueirense
No recent results on record.
Marcílio Dias
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Figueirense and Marcílio Dias.
What is the prediction for Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias?
On our numbers Figueirense have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Marcílio Dias 27%.
How many goals will there be in Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias?
Our predicted score is Figueirense 1–1 Marcílio Dias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias?
Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias (Catarinense 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Catarinense 1 · Brazil
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