Defence Force 15%Draw 20%Philadelphia Union 65%Expected goals 1.14 – 2.31
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 19 February the CONCACAF Champions League brings Defence Force against Philadelphia Union at Hasely Crawford Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defence Force 1.1 xG, Philadelphia Union 2.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defence Force 15%, draw 20%, Philadelphia Union 65%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defence Force 1–2 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defence Force15%fair 6.48 · @7.50
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.50
Philadelphia Union65%fair 1.55 · @1.36
3.46Expected goals
1.14Defence Force xG
2.31Philadelphia Union xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–28%
1–18%
1–37%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Defence Force 1.1 – 2.3 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✓
65%
1.55
1.36
Double chance
Philadelphia Union or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Philadelphia Union -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.20
First team to score
Philadelphia Union to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✓
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Defence Force
No recent results on record.
Philadelphia Union
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defence Force and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Defence Force have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Philadelphia Union 65%.
How many goals will there be in Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Defence Force 1–2 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union?
Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union (CONCACAF Champions League) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Hasely Crawford Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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