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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Philadelphia Union v Defence Force: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Champions League · North & Central America · Subaru Park
Philadelphia Union 79%Draw 13%Defence Force 7% Expected goals 3.20 – 1.08
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓79% · @1.08
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25

Philadelphia Union vs Defence Force: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Defence Force travel to face Philadelphia Union on Friday 27 February in the CONCACAF Champions League, with Subaru Park the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Feb 2026) it ended Defence Force 0–5 Philadelphia Union.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Philadelphia Union 3.2 xG, Defence Force 1.1 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 78% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Philadelphia Union 79%, draw 13%, Defence Force 7%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philadelphia Union 3–1 Defence Force. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Philadelphia Union79%fair 1.26 · @1.08
Draw13%fair 7.42 · @9.75
Defence Force7%fair 13.57 · @25.00
4.28Expected goals
3.20Philadelphia Union xG
1.08Defence Force xG
53%Both score
78%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
2–18%
3–08%
2–07%
4–17%
4–06%

From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 3.2 – 1.1 Defence Force expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓79%1.261.08
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓93%1.081.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.90–
Draw no betPhiladelphia Union (draw no bet) ✓91%1.09–
Asian handicapPhiladelphia Union -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78%1.291.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓59%1.691.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗60%1.661.50
First team to scorePhiladelphia Union to score first ✓74%1.36–
Half-time resultPhiladelphia Union ahead at half-time ✓60%1.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union ✓56%1.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%12.25–

Recent results

Philadelphia Union – last 2

LW
22 Feb@ DC United0–1L
19 Feb@ Defence Force5–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Defence Force – last 2

WL
21 Febvs Morvant Caledonia United2–1W
19 Febvs Philadelphia Union0–5L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Feb 2026Defence Force v Philadelphia Union0–5
Philadelphia Union vs Defence Force head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Defence Force?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Defence Force?

On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Defence Force 7%.

How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Defence Force?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Defence Force?

Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 3–1 Defence Force, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Philadelphia Union vs Defence Force?

Philadelphia Union vs Defence Force (CONCACAF Champions League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.