Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Fylkir to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFylkir to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceFylkir or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Fylkir vs Vestri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 4 May the 1. Deild brings Fylkir against Vestri. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Fylkir, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fjardabyggd Leiknir, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Vestri, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Vikingur Reykjavik, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fylkir, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.0 for Vestri.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fylkir 2.1 xG, Vestri 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fylkir 63%, draw 20%, Vestri 17%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Fylkir to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fylkir 2–0 Vestri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fylkir63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.60
Vestri17%fair 5.94 · @3.90
3.07Expected goals
2.14Fylkir xG
0.93Vestri xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Fylkir 2.1 – 0.9 Vestri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fylkir to win✓
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Fylkir or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.62
Draw no bet
Fylkir (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Fylkir -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
First team to score
Fylkir to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Fylkir ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fylkir / FT Fylkir✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Fylkir – last 6
WWWWLW
2 Apr
vs Fjardabyggd Leiknir
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs KV
6–0
W
17 Mar
@ Thor Akureyri
2–0
W
11 Mar
vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
4–2
W
5 Mar
@ Throttur Reykjavik
0–3
L
14 Feb
@ Leiknir R.
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vestri – last 3
LLL
29 Mar
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
0–4
L
18 Feb
@ HK Kopavogur
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Keflavik
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fylkir and Vestri.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fylkir vs Vestri?
On our numbers Fylkir have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vestri 17%.
How many goals will there be in Fylkir vs Vestri?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fylkir vs Vestri?
Our predicted score is Fylkir 2–0 Vestri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Fylkir vs Vestri?
Fylkir vs Vestri (1. Deild) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
1. Deild · Iceland
