Value bet: Leiknir R. to win @ 2.63 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLeiknir R. to win ✓41% · @2.63
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.41
Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:15 WAT, Friday 26 June: Leiknir R. v IR Reykjavik in the 1. Deild.
Current form
Leiknir R., last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Njardvik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
IR Reykjavik, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Völsungur, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leiknir R., collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for IR Reykjavik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leiknir R. 1.9 xG, IR Reykjavik 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leiknir R. 41%, draw 23%, IR Reykjavik 36%.
Price worth noting: Leiknir R. to win @2.63 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leiknir R. 2–1 IR Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leiknir R.41%fair 2.42 · @2.63
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.65
IR Reykjavik36%fair 2.77 · @2.18
3.46Expected goals
1.88Leiknir R. xG
1.58IR Reykjavik xG
55%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Leiknir R. 1.9 – 1.6 IR Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leiknir R. to win✓
41%
2.42
2.63 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Leiknir R. (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
IR Reykjavik +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.82
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.34
First team to score
Leiknir R. to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leiknir R. / FT Leiknir R.✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Leiknir R. – last 6
LWWWLD
19 Jun
@ Njardvik
0–1
L
13 Jun
vs Vestri
1–0
W
5 Jun
@ Ægir
3–0
W
31 May
vs HK Kopavogur
4–1
W
27 May
@ Fylkir
0–3
L
22 May
vs Grindavik
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
IR Reykjavik – last 6
DWLLLW
21 Jun
vs Völsungur
4–4
D
17 Jun
vs Grotta
2–1
W
5 Jun
@ Njardvik
1–5
L
31 May
vs Vestri
0–1
L
27 May
@ Ægir
1–4
L
22 May
vs HK Kopavogur
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leiknir R. and IR Reykjavik.
What is the prediction for Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?
On our numbers Leiknir R. have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and IR Reykjavik 36%.
How many goals will there be in Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Leiknir R. 2–1 IR Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?
Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik (1. Deild) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.