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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leiknir R. v IR Reykjavik: numbers & prediction

1. Deild · Iceland
2–1
FT
Leiknir R. 41%Draw 23%IR Reykjavik 36% Expected goals 1.88 – 1.58
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Leiknir R. to win @ 2.63 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLeiknir R. to win ✓41% · @2.63
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.41

Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:15 WAT, Friday 26 June: Leiknir R. v IR Reykjavik in the 1. Deild.

Current form

Leiknir R., last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Njardvik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

IR Reykjavik, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Völsungur, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Leiknir R., collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for IR Reykjavik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leiknir R. 1.9 xG, IR Reykjavik 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leiknir R. 41%, draw 23%, IR Reykjavik 36%.
  • Price worth noting: Leiknir R. to win @2.63 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leiknir R. 2–1 IR Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leiknir R.41%fair 2.42 · @2.63
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.65
IR Reykjavik36%fair 2.77 · @2.18
3.46Expected goals
1.88Leiknir R. xG
1.58IR Reykjavik xG
55%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%

From our goals model: Leiknir R. 1.9 – 1.6 IR Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeiknir R. to win ✓41%2.422.63 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.81–
Draw no betLeiknir R. (draw no bet) ✓53%1.87–
Asian handicapIR Reykjavik +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.171.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.461.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.911.82
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.421.34
First team to scoreLeiknir R. to score first ✗53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leiknir R. / FT Leiknir R. ✗28%3.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.41–

Recent results

Leiknir R. – last 6

LWWWLD
19 Jun@ Njardvik0–1L
13 Junvs Vestri1–0W
5 Jun@ Ægir3–0W
31 Mayvs HK Kopavogur4–1W
27 May@ Fylkir0–3L
22 Mayvs Grindavik0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

IR Reykjavik – last 6

DWLLLW
21 Junvs Völsungur4–4D
17 Junvs Grotta2–1W
5 Jun@ Njardvik1–5L
31 Mayvs Vestri0–1L
27 May@ Ægir1–4L
22 Mayvs HK Kopavogur3–1W
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leiknir R. and IR Reykjavik.

Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik head-to-head page →

More 1. Deild predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?

On our numbers Leiknir R. have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and IR Reykjavik 36%.

How many goals will there be in Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?

Our predicted score is Leiknir R. 2–1 IR Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik?

Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik (1. Deild) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.