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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Afturelding v Leiknir R.: numbers & prediction

1. Deild · Iceland

Afturelding

WWWWL
3–2
FT

Leiknir R.

LDWLW
Afturelding 66%Draw 18%Leiknir R. 16% Expected goals 2.47 – 1.18
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultAfturelding to win ✓66% · @1.33
Double chanceAfturelding or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69

Afturelding vs Leiknir R.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Afturelding welcome Leiknir R. for a 1. Deild fixture on Thursday 16 July (20:15 WAT).

Current form

Afturelding, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Völsungur, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Leiknir R., last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Grotta, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Afturelding, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Leiknir R..

Head to head

When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Leiknir R. 0–3 Afturelding.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Afturelding 2.5 xG, Leiknir R. 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Afturelding 66%, draw 18%, Leiknir R. 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Afturelding 2–1 Leiknir R.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Afturelding66%fair 1.51 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @5.00
Leiknir R.16%fair 6.33 · @6.80
3.65Expected goals
2.47Afturelding xG
1.18Leiknir R. xG
65%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: Afturelding 2.5 – 1.2 Leiknir R. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAfturelding to win ✓66%1.511.33
Double chanceAfturelding or draw ✓84%1.191.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.48
Draw no betAfturelding (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapAfturelding -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.421.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.981.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗68%1.471.40
First team to scoreAfturelding to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultAfturelding ahead at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Afturelding / FT Afturelding ✓44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.69–

Recent results

Afturelding – last 6

WWWWLW
11 Jul@ Völsungur6–1W
3 Jul@ IR Reykjavik1–0W
29 Junvs Ægir8–1W
26 Junvs Njardvik2–0W
21 Jun@ Vestri0–2L
10 Junvs Stjarnan3–1W
3.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Leiknir R. – last 6

LDWLWW
10 Julvs Grotta0–1L
4 Julvs Völsungur3–3D
26 Junvs IR Reykjavik2–1W
19 Jun@ Njardvik0–1L
13 Junvs Vestri1–0W
5 Jun@ Ægir3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026Leiknir R. v Afturelding0–3
Afturelding vs Leiknir R. head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Afturelding vs Leiknir R.?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Afturelding vs Leiknir R.?

On our numbers Afturelding have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Leiknir R. 16%.

How many goals will there be in Afturelding vs Leiknir R.?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Afturelding vs Leiknir R.?

Our predicted score is Afturelding 2–1 Leiknir R., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Afturelding vs Leiknir R.?

Afturelding vs Leiknir R. (1. Deild) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.