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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fylkir v Afturelding: numbers & prediction

1. Deild · Iceland

Fylkir

LWLDW
3–3
FT
Fylkir 43%Draw 21%Afturelding 36% Expected goals 1.91 – 1.74
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.46Odds
2

Value bet: Afturelding to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFylkir to win ✗43% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.11

Fylkir vs Afturelding: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Afturelding travel to face Fylkir on Thursday 13 August in the 1. Deild – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT.

Current form

Fylkir, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Leiknir R., away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Afturelding, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Grindavik, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jul 2026) it ended Fylkir 1–1 Afturelding. The last 2 head-to-heads: Fylkir 0 wins, Afturelding 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fylkir 1.9 xG, Afturelding 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fylkir 43%, draw 21%, Afturelding 36%.
  • Price worth noting: Afturelding to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fylkir 2–1 Afturelding. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fylkir43%fair 2.33 · @2.02
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Afturelding36%fair 2.76 · @2.95
3.64Expected goals
1.91Fylkir xG
1.74Afturelding xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Fylkir 1.9 – 1.7 Afturelding expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFylkir to win ✗43%2.332.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.75–
Draw no betFylkir (draw no bet)54%1.84–
Asian handicapAfturelding +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.46
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.851.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗72%1.391.22
First team to scoreFylkir to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fylkir / FT Fylkir ✗26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.11–

Recent results

Fylkir – last 6

LWLDWW
7 Aug@ Leiknir R.0–3L
29 Julvs Völsungur3–1W
25 Jul@ IR Reykjavik0–2L
21 Julvs Afturelding1–1D
17 Julvs Njardvik4–1W
13 Jul@ Vestri5–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Afturelding – last 6

WLDWWW
7 Augvs Grindavik4–1W
29 Jul@ Throttur Reykjavik1–4L
21 Jul@ Fylkir1–1D
16 Julvs Leiknir R.3–2W
11 Jul@ Völsungur6–1W
3 Jul@ IR Reykjavik1–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jul 2026Fylkir v Afturelding1–1
31 May 2026Afturelding v Fylkir5–1
Fylkir vs Afturelding head-to-head page →

More 1. Deild predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fylkir vs Afturelding?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win Fylkir vs Afturelding?

On our numbers Fylkir have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Afturelding 36%.

How many goals will there be in Fylkir vs Afturelding?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fylkir vs Afturelding?

Our predicted score is Fylkir 2–1 Afturelding, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Fylkir vs Afturelding?

Fylkir vs Afturelding (1. Deild) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.