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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nairobi City Stars v Fortune Sacco: numbers & prediction

Super League · Kenya
Nairobi City Stars 23%Draw 26%Fortune Sacco 50% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.38
77%
Betarazi pick

Fortune Sacco or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultFortune Sacco to win ✗50% · @1.80
Double chanceFortune Sacco or draw ✗77% · @1.55
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.57

Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fortune Sacco travel to face Nairobi City Stars on Saturday 21 February in the Super League – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Nairobi City Stars are 2nd, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Fortune Sacco are 9th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nairobi City Stars 1.0 xG, Fortune Sacco 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nairobi City Stars 23%, draw 26%, Fortune Sacco 50%.
  • Lower-risk option: Fortune Sacco or draw (77%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fortune Sacco or draw (77%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nairobi City Stars 0–1 Fortune Sacco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nairobi City Stars23%fair 4.27 · @4.33
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
Fortune Sacco50%fair 1.99 · @1.80
2.34Expected goals
0.97Nairobi City Stars xG
1.38Fortune Sacco xG
45%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%

From our goals model: Nairobi City Stars 1.0 – 1.4 Fortune Sacco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFortune Sacco to win ✗50%1.991.80
Double chanceFortune Sacco or draw ✗77%1.311.55 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betFortune Sacco (draw no bet) ✗68%1.47–
Asian handicapNairobi City Stars +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.601.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.10–
First team to scoreFortune Sacco to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fortune Sacco / FT Fortune Sacco ✗27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.57–

Recent results

Nairobi City Stars – last 1

L
15 Feb@ Migori Youth0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Fortune Sacco – last 1

L
15 Febvs MOFA0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nairobi City Stars and Fortune Sacco.

Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sofapaka000000
2Nairobi City Stars000000
3Kariobangi Sharks000000
4Nzoia Sugar000000
5Naivas000000
6Kibera Black Stars000000
7Talanta000000
8Kisumu All Stars000000
9Fortune Sacco000000
10Soy United000000
11Equity Bank000000
12Luanda Villa000000
13MOFA000000
14Kibera Soccer000000
15Kabati Youth FC000000
16Gucha Stars000000
17Mfalme000000
18Kiminini Combined000000
19BB FC000000
20Spitfire FC000000

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco?

Our pick is Fortune Sacco or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco?

On our numbers Nairobi City Stars have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fortune Sacco 50%.

How many goals will there be in Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco?

Our predicted score is Nairobi City Stars 0–1 Fortune Sacco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco?

Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.