Value bet: MOFA to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMombasa Elite to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.56
Mombasa Elite vs MOFA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 February the Super League brings Mombasa Elite against MOFA. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mombasa Elite 1.2 xG, MOFA 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mombasa Elite 41%, draw 27%, MOFA 32%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: MOFA to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.92, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mombasa Elite 1–1 MOFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mombasa Elite41%fair 2.45 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
MOFA32%fair 3.09 · @3.40
2.37Expected goals
1.21Mombasa Elite xG
1.15MOFA xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Mombasa Elite 1.2 – 1.2 MOFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mombasa Elite to win✓
41%
2.45
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Mombasa Elite (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
MOFA +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Mombasa Elite to score first✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mombasa Elite / FT Mombasa Elite✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.56
–
Recent results
Mombasa Elite – last 1
W
20 Feb
@ Darajani Gogo
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
MOFA – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Fortune Sacco
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mombasa Elite and MOFA.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Mombasa Elite vs MOFA?
On our numbers Mombasa Elite have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and MOFA 32%.
How many goals will there be in Mombasa Elite vs MOFA?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mombasa Elite vs MOFA?
Our predicted score is Mombasa Elite 1–1 MOFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mombasa Elite vs MOFA?
Mombasa Elite vs MOFA (Super League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
