Mwatate United 35%Draw 28%Gucha Stars 37%Expected goals 1.10 – 1.14
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultGucha Stars to win ✗37% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.28
Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mwatate United welcome Gucha Stars for a Super League fixture on Saturday 28 February (13:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mwatate United 1.1 xG, Gucha Stars 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mwatate United 35%, draw 28%, Gucha Stars 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mwatate United 1–1 Gucha Stars. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mwatate United35%fair 2.84 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.10
Gucha Stars37%fair 2.69 · @2.55
2.24Expected goals
1.10Mwatate United xG
1.14Gucha Stars xG
43%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mwatate United 1.1 – 1.1 Gucha Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gucha Stars to win✗
37%
2.69
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Gucha Stars (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Mwatate United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Gucha Stars to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gucha Stars / FT Gucha Stars✗
21%
4.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.28
–
Recent results
Mwatate United – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Kabati Youth FC
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Darajani Gogo
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gucha Stars – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Migori Youth
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nzoia Sugar
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mwatate United and Gucha Stars.
What is the prediction for Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars?
On our numbers Mwatate United have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Gucha Stars 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars?
Our predicted score is Mwatate United 1–1 Gucha Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars?
Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
