Nairobi City Stars 54%Draw 26%Mwatate United 20%Expected goals 1.38 – 0.93
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.60
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultNairobi City Stars to win54% · @1.53
Double chanceNairobi City Stars or draw80% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.30
Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mwatate United travel to face Nairobi City Stars on Saturday 7 March in the Super League – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Nairobi City Stars, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nzoia Sugar, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Mwatate United, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Gucha Stars, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nairobi City Stars 1.4 xG, Mwatate United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nairobi City Stars 54%, draw 26%, Mwatate United 20%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nairobi City Stars 1–0 Mwatate United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nairobi City Stars54%fair 1.86 · @1.53
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.50
Mwatate United20%fair 4.91 · @5.50
2.31Expected goals
1.38Nairobi City Stars xG
0.93Mwatate United xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Nairobi City Stars 1.4 – 0.9 Mwatate United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nairobi City Stars to win
54%
1.86
1.53
Double chance
Nairobi City Stars or draw
80%
1.26
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Nairobi City Stars (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Mwatate United +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Nairobi City Stars to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nairobi City Stars / FT Nairobi City Stars
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.30
–
Recent results
Nairobi City Stars – last 3
DWL
1 Mar
@ Nzoia Sugar
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Fortune Sacco
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Migori Youth
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mwatate United – last 3
WLD
28 Feb
vs Gucha Stars
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Kabati Youth FC
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Darajani Gogo
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi City Stars and Mwatate United.
What is the prediction for Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
On our numbers Nairobi City Stars have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mwatate United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
Our predicted score is Nairobi City Stars 1–0 Mwatate United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Darajani Gogo0