Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultMigori Youth to win ✓49% · @1.73
Double chanceMigori Youth or draw ✓78% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.64
Migori Youth vs Naivas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Naivas travel to face Migori Youth on Sunday 12 April in the Super League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Migori Youth, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Luanda Villa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Migori Youth 1.2 xG, Naivas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Migori Youth 49%, draw 28%, Naivas 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Migori Youth 1–0 Naivas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Migori Youth49%fair 2.03 · @1.73
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.20
Naivas22%fair 4.45 · @4.50
2.10Expected goals
1.24Migori Youth xG
0.87Naivas xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Migori Youth 1.2 – 0.9 Naivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Migori Youth to win✓
49%
2.03
1.73
Double chance
Migori Youth or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Migori Youth (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Naivas +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Migori Youth to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Migori Youth / FT Migori Youth✓
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.64
–
Recent results
Migori Youth – last 6
WLWWWL
5 Apr
@ Luanda Villa
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Mwatate United
0–1
L
23 Mar
vs Talanta
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Soy United
3–2
W
1 Mar
vs Darajani Gogo
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Gucha Stars
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Naivas – last 2
WD
28 Feb
vs Luanda Villa
3–0
W
14 Feb
vs Equity Bank
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Migori Youth and Naivas.
What is the prediction for Migori Youth vs Naivas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Migori Youth vs Naivas?
On our numbers Migori Youth have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Naivas 22%.
How many goals will there be in Migori Youth vs Naivas?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Migori Youth vs Naivas?
Our predicted score is Migori Youth 1–0 Naivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Migori Youth vs Naivas?
Migori Youth vs Naivas (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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