MOFA 60%Draw 25%Luanda Villa 15%Expected goals 1.55 – 0.75
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultMOFA to win ✗60% · @1.50
Double chanceMOFA or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.44
MOFA vs Luanda Villa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
MOFA welcome Luanda Villa for a Super League fixture on Friday 10 April (12:00 WAT). In the table, MOFA are 13th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Luanda Villa are 12th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
MOFA, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Nzoia Sugar, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Luanda Villa, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Migori Youth, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Momentum favours MOFA, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Luanda Villa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MOFA 1.6 xG, Luanda Villa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MOFA 60%, draw 25%, Luanda Villa 15%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: MOFA 1–0 Luanda Villa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MOFA60%fair 1.68 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.50
Luanda Villa15%fair 6.46 · @6.00
2.30Expected goals
1.55MOFA xG
0.75Luanda Villa xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: MOFA 1.6 – 0.7 Luanda Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MOFA to win✗
60%
1.68
1.50
Double chance
MOFA or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
MOFA (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Luanda Villa +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
MOFA to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MOFA / FT MOFA✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.44
–
Recent results
MOFA – last 5
WDWLW
4 Apr
@ Nzoia Sugar
2–0
W
28 Mar
@ Nairobi City Stars
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Vihiga United FC
3–2
W
27 Feb
@ Mombasa Elite
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Fortune Sacco
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Luanda Villa – last 4
LLLL
5 Apr
vs Migori Youth
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Naivas
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Talanta
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ 3K
0–5
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MOFA and Luanda Villa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win MOFA vs Luanda Villa?
On our numbers MOFA have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Luanda Villa 15%.
How many goals will there be in MOFA vs Luanda Villa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MOFA vs Luanda Villa?
Our predicted score is MOFA 1–0 Luanda Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is MOFA vs Luanda Villa?
MOFA vs Luanda Villa (Super League) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
