Value bet: IA Akranes to win @ 2.65 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIA Akranes to win ✓44% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.94
IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valur Reykjavik travel to face IA Akranes on Thursday 26 February in the League Cup – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give IA Akranes 2.2 xG, Valur Reykjavik 1.7 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – IA Akranes 44%, draw 20%, Valur Reykjavik 36%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: IA Akranes to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: IA Akranes 2–1 Valur Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
IA Akranes44%fair 2.29 · @2.65
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.80
Valur Reykjavik36%fair 2.78 · @2.15
3.85Expected goals
2.15IA Akranes xG
1.70Valur Reykjavik xG
69%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: IA Akranes 2.2 – 1.7 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IA Akranes to win✓
44%
2.29
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Draw no bet
IA Akranes (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Valur Reykjavik +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
First team to score
IA Akranes to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
IA Akranes ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IA Akranes / FT IA Akranes✓
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
IA Akranes
No recent results on record.
Valur Reykjavik – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Afturelding
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IA Akranes and Valur Reykjavik.
What is the prediction for IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?
On our numbers IA Akranes have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Valur Reykjavik 36%.
How many goals will there be in IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is IA Akranes 2–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?
IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik (League Cup) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
League Cup · Iceland
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