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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

União Santarém v Academica: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal · Campo Cha das Padeiras
1–1
FT
União Santarém 25%Draw 26%Academica 50% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.49
53%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultAcademica to win ✗50% · @1.70
Double chanceAcademica or draw ✓75% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.65

União Santarém vs Academica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: União Santarém v Academica in the Liga 3, played at Campo Cha das Padeiras.

Current form

União Santarém, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guimaraes B, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give União Santarém 1.2 xG, Academica 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – União Santarém 25%, draw 26%, Academica 50%.
  • Lower-risk option: Academica or draw (75%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: União Santarém 1–1 Academica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

União Santarém25%fair 4.06 · @4.33
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.25
Academica50%fair 2.01 · @1.70
2.66Expected goals
1.18União Santarém xG
1.49Academica xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: União Santarém 1.2 – 1.5 Academica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAcademica to win ✗50%2.011.70
Double chanceAcademica or draw ✓75%1.331.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betAcademica (draw no bet)67%1.49–
Asian handicapUnião Santarém +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreAcademica to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Academica / FT Academica ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.65–

Recent results

União Santarém – last 4

DLWL
19 Apr@ Guimaraes B1–1D
3 Apr@ Mafra1–2L
4 Marvs Mafra3–1W
21 Febvs Guimaraes B0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Academica – last 2

LD
4 Apr@ Guimaraes B0–1L
29 Mar@ Amarante1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between União Santarém and Academica.

União Santarém vs Academica head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for União Santarém vs Academica?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win União Santarém vs Academica?

On our numbers União Santarém have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Academica 50%.

How many goals will there be in União Santarém vs Academica?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for União Santarém vs Academica?

Our predicted score is União Santarém 1–1 Academica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is União Santarém vs Academica?

União Santarém vs Academica (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Cha das Padeiras.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.