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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fafe v São João Ver: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal · Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe

Fafe

LWDDW
1–2
FT
Fafe 45%Draw 26%São João Ver 29% Expected goals 1.27 – 0.89
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultFafe to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80

Fafe vs São João Ver: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Tuesday 28 April: Fafe v São João Ver in the Liga 3, played at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe. In the table, Fafe are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 9 matches; São João Ver are 9th (upper half) with 9.

Current form

Fafe, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Torreense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

São João Ver, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Paredes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended São João Ver 1–0 Fafe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fafe 1.3 xG, São João Ver 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fafe 45%, draw 26%, São João Ver 29%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fafe 1–0 São João Ver. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fafe45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.40
São João Ver29%fair 3.47 · @3.00
2.16Expected goals
1.27Fafe xG
0.89São João Ver xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Fafe 1.3 – 0.9 São João Ver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFafe to win ✗45%2.212.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.29
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.981.85
Draw no betFafe (draw no bet) ✗61%1.64–
Asian handicapSão João Ver +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreFafe to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fafe / FT Fafe ✗26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.80–

Recent results

Fafe – last 6

LWDDWL
23 Apr@ Torreense0–2L
22 Marvs Paredes1–0W
15 Marvs AD Marco 091–1D
8 Mar@ Paredes0–0D
1 Marvs Sanjoanense3–2W
21 Feb@ São João Ver0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

São João Ver – last 4

WDLW
15 Marvs Paredes3–1W
8 Marvs SC Braga B1–1D
1 Mar@ AD Marco 091–2L
21 Febvs Fafe1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026São João Ver v Fafe1–0
Fafe vs São João Ver head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fafe vs São João Ver?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Fafe vs São João Ver?

On our numbers Fafe have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and São João Ver 29%.

How many goals will there be in Fafe vs São João Ver?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fafe vs São João Ver?

Our predicted score is Fafe 1–0 São João Ver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Fafe vs São João Ver?

Fafe vs São João Ver (Liga 3) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.