Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndy Eleven to win ✓57% · @1.45
Double chanceIndy Eleven or draw ✓80% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Indy Eleven welcome Des Moines Menace to Michael A. Carroll Stadium for a US Open Cup fixture on Wednesday 18 March (01:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Indy Eleven 1.8 xG, Des Moines Menace 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 60%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Indy Eleven 57%, draw 23%, Des Moines Menace 20%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indy Eleven 1–1 Des Moines Menace. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Indy Eleven57%fair 1.74 · @1.45
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.65
Des Moines Menace20%fair 5.00 · @6.00
2.90Expected goals
1.76Indy Eleven xG
1.14Des Moines Menace xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.8 – 1.1 Des Moines Menace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✓
57%
1.74
1.45
Double chance
Indy Eleven or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Draw no bet
Indy Eleven (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Des Moines Menace +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
First team to score
Indy Eleven to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven✓
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Indy Eleven
No recent results on record.
Des Moines Menace
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Des Moines Menace.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Des Moines Menace 20%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–1 Des Moines Menace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace?
Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace (US Open Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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